MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Tony Santillan
Tony Santillan
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tony Santillan.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and saves. Pierce Johnson’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Tony Santillan wins 3 categories (K, ERA, SV); Pierce Johnson wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Pierce Johnson
95.1
Tony Santillan
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Pierce Johnson
11.1%
Tony Santillan
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Pierce Johnson
24.3%
Tony Santillan
20.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Pierce Johnson
32.1%
Tony Santillan
28.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Pierce Johnson
39.7%
Tony Santillan
46.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Pierce Johnson
16.2%
Tony Santillan
10.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Pierce Johnson
.388
Tony Santillan
.348
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Pierce Johnson
2.356.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.75
Tony Santillan
2.356.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.56
3.73
WHIPlower is better
Pierce Johnson
1.121.61
now 1.23
1.24
Tony Santillan
1.121.61
now 1.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Pierce Johnson
4035.60
now 20
27
Tony Santillan
4035.60
now 22
30
Winshigher is better
Pierce Johnson
.0005.20
now 2
14
Tony Santillan
.0005.20
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Pierce Johnson
.0004.40
now 1
02
Tony Santillan
.0004.40
now 2
23
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeTony Santillan — hold.conf 0.50
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