MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 29, 2026
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Tony Santillan
Tony Santillan
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

José Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Tony Santillan’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

José Alvarado wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Tony Santillan wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.3
Tony Santillan
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
14.9%
Tony Santillan
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
28.1%
Tony Santillan
20.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
37.0%
Tony Santillan
28.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
29.8%
Tony Santillan
46.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
3.6%
Tony Santillan
10.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.298
Tony Santillan
.348
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
Tony Santillan
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.56
3.73
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
1.012.04
now 1.81
1.24
Tony Santillan
1.012.04
now 1.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4041.60
now 26
36
Tony Santillan
4041.60
now 22
31
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.5202.48
now 1
12
Tony Santillan
.5202.48
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0004.40
now 1
12
Tony Santillan
.0004.40
now 2
23
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeTony Santillan — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet