Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryTony
33K →43
3.70ERA ←3.77
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–6W ←1–2
0SV →2–4
Current Season
ChaseCategoryTony
20K →22
2.33ERA ←5.56
0.93WHIP ←1.50
2W ←1
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Shugart
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.49 is 1.16 above the ERA — regression coming
Tony Santillan
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.42)
Chase Shugart: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Tony Santillan: 43 K / 3.77 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).