Rest of Season Projection
JoelCategoryTony
26K →44
3.73ERA ←3.75
1.25WHIP1.25
1–2W1–2
5–8SV ←2–5
Current Season
JoelCategoryTony
13K →22
3.04ERA ←5.56
1.18WHIP ←1.50
1W1
4SV ←2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Joel Kuhnel
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.56 is 1.52 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tony Santillan
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.74)
Joel Kuhnel: 26 K / 3.73 ERA. Tony Santillan: 44 K / 3.75 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).