MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Elvis Alvarado
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Elvis Alvarado wins 2 (ERA, W); Pierce Johnson wins 2 (K, SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
98.9
Pierce Johnson
95.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
16.2%
Pierce Johnson
11.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
29.3%
Pierce Johnson
20.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Elvis Alvarado
31.3%
Pierce Johnson
33.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
52.1%
Pierce Johnson
40.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
19.2%
Pierce Johnson
12.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Elvis Alvarado
.357
Pierce Johnson
.370
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
3.70
Pierce Johnson
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Elvis Alvarado
.9802.11
now 1.86
1.24
Pierce Johnson
.9802.11
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
4025.60
now 9
14
Pierce Johnson
4025.60
now 20
20
Winshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.0006.60
now 2
25
Pierce Johnson
.0006.60
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Elvis Alvarado
.0002.40
now 0
0
Pierce Johnson
.0002.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeElvis Alvarado — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.85
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