MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Orion Kerkering
Orion Kerkering
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Orion Kerkering wins 1 (ERA); Pierce Johnson wins 1 (K); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Orion Kerkering
97.5
Pierce Johnson
95.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Orion Kerkering
12.1%
Pierce Johnson
11.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Orion Kerkering
25.7%
Pierce Johnson
20.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Orion Kerkering
28.3%
Pierce Johnson
33.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Orion Kerkering
24.8%
Pierce Johnson
40.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Orion Kerkering
5.9%
Pierce Johnson
12.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Orion Kerkering
.266
Pierce Johnson
.370
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Orion Kerkering
2.054.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.53
3.69
Pierce Johnson
2.054.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Orion Kerkering
1.061.31
now 1.13
1.24
Pierce Johnson
1.061.31
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Orion Kerkering
4028.60
now 23
19
Pierce Johnson
4028.60
now 20
20
Winshigher is better
Orion Kerkering
.0005.20
now 3
14
Pierce Johnson
.0005.20
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Orion Kerkering
.0002.40
now 1
01
Pierce Johnson
.0002.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeOrion Kerkering — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.85
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