MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 10, 2026
Chris Murphy
CWS · P
Change to
Portrait of Orion Kerkering
Orion Kerkering
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Chris Murphy wins 1 (SV); Orion Kerkering wins 1 (K); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Murphy
96.2
Orion Kerkering
97.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
16.8%
Orion Kerkering
12.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
22.6%
Orion Kerkering
25.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
28.6%
Orion Kerkering
29.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
37.3%
Orion Kerkering
23.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
8.5%
Orion Kerkering
6.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Murphy
.295
Orion Kerkering
.271
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Murphy
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.59
3.70
Orion Kerkering
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.53
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Chris Murphy
.9002.55
now 2.32
1.24
Orion Kerkering
.9002.55
now 1.13
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Murphy
4032.60
now 6
16
Orion Kerkering
4032.60
now 23
25
Winshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0006.60
now 1
24
Orion Kerkering
.0006.60
now 3
25
Saveshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0007
now 1
15
Orion Kerkering
.0007
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowChris Murphy — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Sell HighOrion Kerkering — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.75
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