Rest of Season Projection
KevinCategoryOrion
33K →42
3.69ERA3.69
1.24WHIP1.24
3–7W3–8
1–6SV ←1–3
Current Season
KevinCategoryOrion
19K →23
2.67ERA →2.53
0.81WHIP ←1.13
3W3
2SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kevin Kelly
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.53 is 0.86 above the ERA — regression coming
Orion Kerkering
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.48)
Kevin Kelly: 33 K / 3.69 ERA. Orion Kerkering: 42 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).