Rest of Season Projection
AlbertCategoryOrion
36K →42
3.71ERA →3.69
1.24WHIP1.24
3–8W3–8
1–5SV ←1–3
Current Season
AlbertCategoryOrion
10K →23
2.61ERA →2.53
1.21WHIP →1.13
2W →3
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Albert Suárez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.190 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.01 is 2.40 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Orion Kerkering
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.48)
Suárez projects for 36 K and a 3.71 ERA vs Kerkering's 42 K and 3.69 ERA. The 6-K and 0.02-ERA gaps are noise. Sell Suárez; hold Kerkering.