Rest of Season Projection
ChadCategoryOrion
59K ←42
3.71ERA →3.69
1.29WHIP →1.24
3–7W3–8
1–5SV ←1–3
Current Season
ChadCategoryOrion
34K ←23
2.54ERA2.53
1.20WHIP →1.13
3W3
2SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chad Patrick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.74 is 1.20 above the ERA — regression coming
Orion Kerkering
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.48)
Chad Patrick: 59 K / 3.71 ERA. Orion Kerkering: 42 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).