Rest of Season Projection
ChadCategoryJack
59K ←53
3.71ERA →3.66
1.29WHIP →1.24
3–7W ←2–5
1–5SV →4–7
Current Season
ChadCategoryJack
34K ←33
2.54ERA ←5.46
1.20WHIP ←1.21
3W ←2
2SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chad Patrick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.74 is 1.20 above the ERA — regression coming
Jack Perkins
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.333 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Chad Patrick: 59 K / 3.71 ERA. Jack Perkins: 53 K / 3.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).