Rest of Season Projection
AlbertCategoryBrent
36K →50
3.71ERA →3.68
1.24WHIP1.24
3–8W3–8
1–5SV ←0
Current Season
AlbertCategoryBrent
10K →29
2.61ERA →2.00
1.21WHIP ←1.37
2W →3
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Albert Suárez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.190 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.01 is 2.40 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Brent Headrick
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.40)
Headrick projects for 50 K / 3.68 ERA vs Suárez's 36 K / 3.71 ERA. The strikeout edge and slight ERA advantage favor Headrick; verdicts reflect the spread.