Rest of Season Projection
BrentCategoryDylan
50K →52
3.68ERA →3.56
1.24WHIP →1.22
3–8W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
BrentCategoryDylan
29K →34
2.00ERA →1.30
1.37WHIP →0.61
3W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brent Headrick
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.40)
Dylan Lee
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.210 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 1.69 is 0.39 above the ERA — regression coming
Headrick: 3.68 ERA / 50 K vs Lee: 3.56 ERA / 52 K — virtually identical ratios. The sell-high verdict on Lee creates the divergence; Headrick is the hold.