MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 4, 2026
Engraved portrait of Brent Headrick
Brent Headrick
NYY·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to
Engraved portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB·P
Sell High high·0.89
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

BrentCategoryKevin
50K 33
3.68ERA3.69
1.24WHIP1.24
3–8W3–7
0SV 1–6

Current Season

BrentCategoryKevin
29K 19
2.00ERA 2.67
1.37WHIP 0.81
3W3
0SV 2

What Each Player's System Trusts

Brent Headrick
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.40)
Kevin Kelly
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.53 is 0.86 above the ERA — regression coming

Brent Headrick: 50 K / 3.68 ERA. Kevin Kelly: 33 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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