Rest of Season Projection
JeremiahCategoryKevin
49K ←33
3.70ERA3.69
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W →3–7
1–3SV →1–6
Current Season
JeremiahCategoryKevin
22K ←19
3.20ERA →2.67
1.07WHIP →0.81
2W →3
1SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jeremiah Estrada
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.45)
Kevin Kelly
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.53 is 0.86 above the ERA — regression coming
Jeremiah Estrada: 49 K / 3.70 ERA. Kevin Kelly: 33 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).