MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Cole Winn
TEX · P
Change to
Portrait of Matt Gage
Matt Gage
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cole Winn.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Matt Gage’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cole Winn wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Matt Gage wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cole Winn
95.2
Matt Gage
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cole Winn
13.9%
Matt Gage
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cole Winn
23.7%
Matt Gage
18.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cole Winn
36.1%
Matt Gage
33.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cole Winn
46.3%
Matt Gage
30.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cole Winn
6.3%
Matt Gage
8.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cole Winn
.341
Matt Gage
.343
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cole Winn
26.51
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
Matt Gage
26.51
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Cole Winn
1.161.53
now 1.45
1.24
Matt Gage
1.161.53
now 1.29
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cole Winn
4033.60
now 23
28
Matt Gage
4033.60
now 19
23
Winshigher is better
Cole Winn
.0009.40
now 2
14
Matt Gage
.0009.40
now 4
27
Saveshigher is better
Cole Winn
.0003.40
now 1
12
Matt Gage
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCole Winn — hold.conf 0.55
Sell HighMatt Gage — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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