MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Portrait of Brad Keller
Brad Keller
PHI · P
Change to
Cole Winn
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cole Winn.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins. Brad Keller’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cole Winn wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Brad Keller wins 2 (ERA, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Keller
97.0
Cole Winn
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Keller
10.0%
Cole Winn
13.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Keller
23.7%
Cole Winn
23.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Keller
28.4%
Cole Winn
36.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Keller
32.6%
Cole Winn
46.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Keller
4.7%
Cole Winn
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Keller
.286
Cole Winn
.341
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Keller
2.956.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.65
3.68
Cole Winn
2.956.10
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brad Keller
1.021.57
now 1.14
1.25
Cole Winn
1.021.57
now 1.45
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Keller
4033.60
now 28
27
Cole Winn
4033.60
now 23
28
Winshigher is better
Brad Keller
.0005.20
now 2
13
Cole Winn
.0005.20
now 2
14
Saveshigher is better
Brad Keller
.0005.40
now 3
24
Cole Winn
.0005.40
now 1
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBrad Keller — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCole Winn — hold.conf 0.55
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