MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 28, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
SF · P
Change to
Cole Winn
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cole Winn.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and wins. Caleb Kilian’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cole Winn wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, W); Caleb Kilian wins 1 (SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Cole Winn
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
12.9%
Cole Winn
14.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
27.6%
Cole Winn
23.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
31.0%
Cole Winn
36.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
37.2%
Cole Winn
45.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.1%
Cole Winn
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.309
Cole Winn
.346
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
3.026.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.71
Cole Winn
3.026.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
1.031.57
now 1.15
1.25
Cole Winn
1.031.57
now 1.45
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4035.60
now 29
29
Cole Winn
4035.60
now 23
30
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0005.20
now 2
23
Cole Winn
.0005.20
now 2
14
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0006.60
now 3
25
Cole Winn
.0006.60
now 1
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Kilian — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCole Winn — hold.conf 0.55
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