MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 28, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Garrett Cleavinger
Garrett Cleavinger
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Garrett Cleavinger.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Caleb Kilian’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Garrett Cleavinger wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Caleb Kilian wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Garrett Cleavinger
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
12.9%
Garrett Cleavinger
12.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
27.6%
Garrett Cleavinger
31.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
31.0%
Garrett Cleavinger
36.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
37.2%
Garrett Cleavinger
44.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.1%
Garrett Cleavinger
6.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.309
Garrett Cleavinger
.285
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
3.434.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.71
Garrett Cleavinger
3.434.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.65
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
1.031.58
now 1.15
1.25
Garrett Cleavinger
1.031.58
now 1.46
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4038
now 29
29
Garrett Cleavinger
4038
now 17
32
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.2003.80
now 2
23
Garrett Cleavinger
.2003.80
now 1
13
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0006.60
now 3
25
Garrett Cleavinger
.0006.60
now 1
14
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Kilian — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeGarrett Cleavinger — hold.conf 0.50
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