MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 28, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Gabe Speier
Gabe Speier
SEA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Gabe Speier.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Caleb Kilian’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Gabe Speier wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Caleb Kilian wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Gabe Speier
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
12.9%
Gabe Speier
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
27.6%
Gabe Speier
22.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
31.0%
Gabe Speier
33.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
37.2%
Gabe Speier
34.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.1%
Gabe Speier
12.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.309
Gabe Speier
.310
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
24.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.71
Gabe Speier
24.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
1.081.37
now 1.15
1.25
Gabe Speier
1.081.37
now 1.30
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4038.40
now 29
29
Gabe Speier
4038.40
now 16
32
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.2003.80
now 2
23
Gabe Speier
.2003.80
now 1
13
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0006.60
now 3
25
Gabe Speier
.0006.60
now 1
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Kilian — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeGabe Speier — hold.conf 0.50
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