MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Matt Gage
Matt Gage
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Kilian.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Kilian wins 3 categories (K, ERA, SV); Matt Gage wins 2 (WHIP, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Matt Gage
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
Matt Gage
11.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
26.8%
Matt Gage
17.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
32.7%
Matt Gage
34.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
34.9%
Matt Gage
31.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.5%
Matt Gage
10.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.292
Matt Gage
.352
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
2.164.28
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.55
Matt Gage
2.164.28
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
3.76
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
1.081.39
now 1.15
1.32
Matt Gage
1.081.39
now 1.29
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4039
now 29
5
Matt Gage
4039
now 19
4
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0005.60
now 2
00
Matt Gage
.0005.60
now 4
01
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0004.40
now 3
01
Matt Gage
.0004.40
now 1
00
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCaleb Kilian — buy.conf 0.77
Hold · wait & seeMatt Gage — hold.conf 0.50
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