Rest of Season Projection
BradCategoryMatt
34K ←30
3.68ERA ←3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–4W →3–9
3–6SV ←1–3
Current Season
BradCategoryMatt
28K ←19
3.65ERA →2.63
1.14WHIP ←1.29
2W →4
3SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brad Keller
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.16)
Matt Gage
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.227 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.06 is 1.43 above the ERA — regression coming
Brad Keller: 34 K / 3.68 ERA. Matt Gage: 30 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).