MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Mark Leiter Jr.
Mark Leiter Jr.
ATH · P
Change to
Portrait of Matt Gage
Matt Gage
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Mark Leiter Jr..

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and saves. Matt Gage’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Mark Leiter Jr. wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, SV); Matt Gage wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Mark Leiter Jr.
92.2
Matt Gage
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Mark Leiter Jr.
14.0%
Matt Gage
11.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Mark Leiter Jr.
26.4%
Matt Gage
17.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Mark Leiter Jr.
33.8%
Matt Gage
34.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Mark Leiter Jr.
31.9%
Matt Gage
31.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Mark Leiter Jr.
3.3%
Matt Gage
10.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Mark Leiter Jr.
.316
Matt Gage
.352
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Mark Leiter Jr.
26.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.47
3.72
Matt Gage
26.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
3.76
WHIPlower is better
Mark Leiter Jr.
1.151.55
now 1.46
1.24
Matt Gage
1.151.55
now 1.29
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Mark Leiter Jr.
4033.40
now 25
4
Matt Gage
4033.40
now 19
4
Winshigher is better
Mark Leiter Jr.
.0005.60
now 0
00
Matt Gage
.0005.60
now 4
01
Saveshigher is better
Mark Leiter Jr.
.0005.60
now 4
01
Matt Gage
.0005.60
now 1
00
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMark Leiter Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeMatt Gage — hold.conf 0.50
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