Rest of Season Projection
CalCategoryMark
36K →46
3.71ERA ←3.74
1.24WHIP1.24
3–7W ←0–0
0SV →5–9
Current Season
CalCategoryMark
14K →25
2.53ERA ←5.47
1.22WHIP ←1.46
2W ←0
0SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cal Quantrill
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.266 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.72 is 2.23 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Mark Leiter Jr.
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.361 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Cal Quantrill: 36 K / 3.71 ERA. Mark Leiter Jr.: 46 K / 3.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).