Rest of Season Projection
BrantCategoryMark
31K →35
3.70ERA ←3.72
1.26WHIP →1.24
3–9W ←0–0
0SV →4–7
Current Season
BrantCategoryMark
18K →25
2.84ERA ←5.47
1.07WHIP ←1.46
4W ←0
0SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brant Hurter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.206 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.72 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Mark Leiter Jr.
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.22 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.351 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Brant Hurter: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. Mark Leiter Jr.: 36 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).