Rest of Season Projection
BradCategoryFernando
36K →55
3.67ERA3.68
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–4W →3–7
3–6SV ←0
Current Season
BradCategoryFernando
28K →30
3.65ERA →2.19
1.14WHIP ←1.30
2W →3
3SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brad Keller
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.09)
Fernando Cruz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.21 is 1.21 above the ERA — regression coming
Brad Keller: 36 K / 3.67 ERA. Fernando Cruz: 55 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).