Who's more valuable, rest of season
Chris Murphy.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and saves. Matt Gage’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.
Head-to-head
K
▶
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
W
▶
◀
SV
Chris Murphy wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, SV); Matt Gage wins 2 (K, W).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Murphy
95.9
Matt Gage
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
17.0%
Matt Gage
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
21.6%
Matt Gage
18.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
26.6%
Matt Gage
33.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
38.3%
Matt Gage
30.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
8.5%
Matt Gage
8.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Murphy
.305
Matt Gage
.343
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Murphy
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.59
3.70
Matt Gage
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.63
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Chris Murphy
.9002.55
now 2.32
1.24
Matt Gage
.9002.55
now 1.29
1.25
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Murphy
4029.80
now 6
19
Matt Gage
4029.80
now 19
23
Winshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0009.40
now 1
2–5
Matt Gage
.0009.40
now 4
2–7
Saveshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0008.40
now 1
1–6
Matt Gage
.0008.40
now 1
0–2
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowChris Murphy — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.78
Sell HighMatt Gage — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95