MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Chris Murphy
CWS · P
Change to
Portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Chris Murphy wins 1 (ERA); Kevin Kelly wins 1 (K); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Murphy
96.3
Kevin Kelly
93.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
16.3%
Kevin Kelly
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
21.4%
Kevin Kelly
19.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
29.2%
Kevin Kelly
31.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
34.9%
Kevin Kelly
47.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
7.9%
Kevin Kelly
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Murphy
.304
Kevin Kelly
.321
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Murphy
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.59
3.70
Kevin Kelly
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Chris Murphy
.9002.55
now 2.32
1.24
Kevin Kelly
.9002.55
now 0.81
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Murphy
4024.60
now 6
15
Kevin Kelly
4024.60
now 19
17
Winshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0005.20
now 1
14
Kevin Kelly
.0005.20
now 3
14
Saveshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0005.40
now 1
14
Kevin Kelly
.0005.40
now 2
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChris Murphy — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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