MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Jonathan Bowlan
Jonathan Bowlan
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jonathan Bowlan.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Kevin Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jonathan Bowlan wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Kevin Kelly wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jonathan Bowlan
97.1
Kevin Kelly
93.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jonathan Bowlan
15.5%
Kevin Kelly
10.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jonathan Bowlan
31.6%
Kevin Kelly
21.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jonathan Bowlan
35.2%
Kevin Kelly
33.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jonathan Bowlan
35.2%
Kevin Kelly
45.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jonathan Bowlan
7.0%
Kevin Kelly
6.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jonathan Bowlan
.259
Kevin Kelly
.296
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jonathan Bowlan
25.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
2.76
Kevin Kelly
25.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.65
WHIPlower is better
Jonathan Bowlan
.9001.29
now 1.15
1.10
Kevin Kelly
.9001.29
now 0.81
1.13

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jonathan Bowlan
4025.40
now 16
4
Kevin Kelly
4025.40
now 19
3
Winshigher is better
Jonathan Bowlan
.0004.20
now 1
00
Kevin Kelly
.0004.20
now 3
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJonathan Bowlan — buy.conf 0.92
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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