MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Chris Murphy
CWS · P
Change to
Cole Winn
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Chris Murphy wins 1 (SV); Cole Winn wins 1 (K); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Murphy
96.3
Cole Winn
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
16.3%
Cole Winn
14.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
21.4%
Cole Winn
22.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
29.2%
Cole Winn
36.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
34.9%
Cole Winn
43.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
7.9%
Cole Winn
5.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Murphy
.304
Cole Winn
.329
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Murphy
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.59
3.70
Cole Winn
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Chris Murphy
.9002.55
now 2.32
1.24
Cole Winn
.9002.55
now 1.45
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Murphy
4029.80
now 6
15
Cole Winn
4029.80
now 23
22
Winshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0005.20
now 1
14
Cole Winn
.0005.20
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0005.60
now 1
14
Cole Winn
.0005.60
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChris Murphy — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCole Winn — hold.conf 0.50
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