MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Cole Winn
TEX · P
Change to
Portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cole Winn.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Kevin Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cole Winn wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Kevin Kelly wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cole Winn
95.2
Kevin Kelly
93.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cole Winn
14.7%
Kevin Kelly
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cole Winn
22.6%
Kevin Kelly
19.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cole Winn
36.2%
Kevin Kelly
31.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cole Winn
43.1%
Kevin Kelly
47.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cole Winn
5.9%
Kevin Kelly
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cole Winn
.329
Kevin Kelly
.321
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cole Winn
26.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
Kevin Kelly
26.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Cole Winn
.9001.71
now 1.45
1.24
Kevin Kelly
.9001.71
now 0.81
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cole Winn
4028.60
now 23
22
Kevin Kelly
4028.60
now 19
17
Winshigher is better
Cole Winn
.0005.20
now 2
13
Kevin Kelly
.0005.20
now 3
14
Saveshigher is better
Cole Winn
.0004.40
now 1
02
Kevin Kelly
.0004.40
now 2
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCole Winn — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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