Rest of Season Projection
BrantCategoryJoel
31K ←21
3.70ERA ←3.72
1.26WHIP →1.24
3–9W ←1–2
0SV →4–8
Current Season
BrantCategoryJoel
18K ←13
2.84ERA ←3.04
1.07WHIP ←1.18
4W ←1
0SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brant Hurter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.206 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.72 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Joel Kuhnel
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.34)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Hurter projects 31 K to Kuhnel's 21 K, with nearly identical ERA and WHIP. The verdicts diverge: sell-high on Hurter, hold Kuhnel.