MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 29, 2026
Portrait of José Fermin
José Fermin
LAA · P
Change to
Portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

José Fermin.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Kevin Kelly’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

José Fermin wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Kevin Kelly wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Fermin
96.3
Kevin Kelly
93.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Fermin
14.4%
Kevin Kelly
8.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Fermin
24.5%
Kevin Kelly
20.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Fermin
32.7%
Kevin Kelly
30.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Fermin
50.9%
Kevin Kelly
49.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Fermin
9.1%
Kevin Kelly
8.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Fermin
.350
Kevin Kelly
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Fermin
26.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
Kevin Kelly
26.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.73
WHIPlower is better
José Fermin
.9002.01
now 1.67
1.24
Kevin Kelly
.9002.01
now 0.81
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Fermin
4036.60
now 18
31
Kevin Kelly
4036.60
now 19
21
Winshigher is better
José Fermin
.8006.20
now 2
25
Kevin Kelly
.8006.20
now 3
25
Saveshigher is better
José Fermin
.0005.60
now 0
0
Kevin Kelly
.0005.60
now 2
14
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJosé Fermin — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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