MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 26, 2026
Portrait of José Fermin
José Fermin
LAA · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

José Fermin.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Pierce Johnson’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

José Fermin wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Pierce Johnson wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Fermin
96.3
Pierce Johnson
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Fermin
14.5%
Pierce Johnson
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Fermin
24.4%
Pierce Johnson
23.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Fermin
32.1%
Pierce Johnson
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Fermin
51.9%
Pierce Johnson
35.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Fermin
9.6%
Pierce Johnson
14.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Fermin
.350
Pierce Johnson
.373
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Fermin
2.426.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
Pierce Johnson
2.426.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.74
WHIPlower is better
José Fermin
1.051.85
now 1.67
1.24
Pierce Johnson
1.051.85
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Fermin
4037.60
now 18
32
Pierce Johnson
4037.60
now 20
29
Winshigher is better
José Fermin
.0006.60
now 2
25
Pierce Johnson
.0006.60
now 2
14
Saveshigher is better
José Fermin
.0003.40
now 0
0
Pierce Johnson
.0003.40
now 1
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJosé Fermin — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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