MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 7, 2026
Portrait of Gabe Speier
Gabe Speier
SEA · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Gabe Speier.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Pierce Johnson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Gabe Speier wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Pierce Johnson wins 0 (none); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gabe Speier
95.4
Pierce Johnson
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
12.2%
Pierce Johnson
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
21.8%
Pierce Johnson
20.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
30.5%
Pierce Johnson
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gabe Speier
36.6%
Pierce Johnson
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gabe Speier
11.0%
Pierce Johnson
12.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gabe Speier
.301
Pierce Johnson
.367
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gabe Speier
24.26
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.70
Pierce Johnson
24.26
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Gabe Speier
1.161.37
now 1.30
1.24
Pierce Johnson
1.161.37
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gabe Speier
4025.60
now 16
17
Pierce Johnson
4025.60
now 20
16
Winshigher is better
Gabe Speier
.0002.80
now 1
01
Pierce Johnson
.0002.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Gabe Speier
.0003.40
now 1
02
Pierce Johnson
.0003.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighGabe Speier — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seePierce Johnson — hold.conf 0.50
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