MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 22, 2026
Portrait of Gabe Speier
Gabe Speier
SEA · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Gabe Speier.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and saves. Pierce Johnson’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Gabe Speier wins 3 categories (K, ERA, SV); Pierce Johnson wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gabe Speier
94.9
Pierce Johnson
95.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
13.0%
Pierce Johnson
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
22.4%
Pierce Johnson
21.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
34.0%
Pierce Johnson
31.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gabe Speier
30.0%
Pierce Johnson
35.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gabe Speier
10.0%
Pierce Johnson
14.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gabe Speier
.307
Pierce Johnson
.381
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gabe Speier
24.27
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.70
Pierce Johnson
24.27
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Gabe Speier
1.161.37
now 1.30
1.24
Pierce Johnson
1.161.37
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gabe Speier
4042.60
now 16
35
Pierce Johnson
4042.60
now 20
33
Winshigher is better
Gabe Speier
.0005.20
now 1
13
Pierce Johnson
.0005.20
now 2
24
Saveshigher is better
Gabe Speier
.0004.40
now 1
13
Pierce Johnson
.0004.40
now 1
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeGabe Speier — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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