MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 25, 2026
Portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Kevin Kelly.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Kevin Kelly wins 2 categories (ERA, SV); Pierce Johnson wins 1 (K); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
93.1
Pierce Johnson
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
9.2%
Pierce Johnson
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
21.2%
Pierce Johnson
23.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
31.4%
Pierce Johnson
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kevin Kelly
48.4%
Pierce Johnson
35.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kevin Kelly
8.4%
Pierce Johnson
14.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kevin Kelly
.308
Pierce Johnson
.373
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kevin Kelly
2.244.17
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.71
Pierce Johnson
2.244.17
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Kevin Kelly
.9001.41
now 0.81
1.24
Pierce Johnson
.9001.41
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kevin Kelly
4035.60
now 19
22
Pierce Johnson
4035.60
now 20
30
Winshigher is better
Kevin Kelly
.0006.60
now 3
25
Pierce Johnson
.0006.60
now 2
14
Saveshigher is better
Kevin Kelly
.0005.40
now 2
14
Pierce Johnson
.0005.40
now 1
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Sell HighPierce Johnson — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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