MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 25, 2026
Portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Kyle Hurt
Kyle Hurt
LAD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Kevin Kelly wins 1 (W); Kyle Hurt wins 1 (K); 3 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
93.1
Kyle Hurt
96.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
9.2%
Kyle Hurt
20.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
21.2%
Kyle Hurt
31.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kevin Kelly
31.4%
Kyle Hurt
34.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kevin Kelly
48.4%
Kyle Hurt
36.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kevin Kelly
8.4%
Kyle Hurt
5.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kevin Kelly
.308
Kyle Hurt
.266
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kevin Kelly
24.79
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.71
Kyle Hurt
24.79
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Kevin Kelly
.9001.42
now 0.81
1.24
Kyle Hurt
.9001.42
now 0.78
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kevin Kelly
4036.60
now 19
22
Kyle Hurt
4036.60
now 21
31
Winshigher is better
Kevin Kelly
.0006.60
now 3
25
Kyle Hurt
.0006.60
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Kevin Kelly
.0005.40
now 2
14
Kyle Hurt
.0005.40
now 1
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Hold · wait & seeKyle Hurt — hold.conf 0.50
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