MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Gabe Speier
Gabe Speier
SEA · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

José Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Gabe Speier’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

José Alvarado wins 1 categories (K); Gabe Speier wins 0 (none); 4 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gabe Speier
95.3
José Alvarado
97.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
11.8%
José Alvarado
14.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
19.6%
José Alvarado
28.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gabe Speier
31.6%
José Alvarado
36.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gabe Speier
35.8%
José Alvarado
28.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gabe Speier
11.9%
José Alvarado
4.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gabe Speier
.312
José Alvarado
.304
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gabe Speier
26.85
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.70
José Alvarado
26.85
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Gabe Speier
1.012.04
now 1.30
1.24
José Alvarado
1.012.04
now 1.81
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gabe Speier
4037
now 16
30
José Alvarado
4037
now 26
31
Winshigher is better
Gabe Speier
.5202.48
now 1
12
José Alvarado
.5202.48
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Gabe Speier
.0004.40
now 1
13
José Alvarado
.0004.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighGabe Speier — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Tweet