MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Eric Orze
Eric Orze
MIN · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

José Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Eric Orze’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

José Alvarado wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Eric Orze wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Eric Orze
92.7
José Alvarado
97.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Eric Orze
9.7%
José Alvarado
14.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Eric Orze
18.8%
José Alvarado
28.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Eric Orze
28.9%
José Alvarado
36.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Eric Orze
29.2%
José Alvarado
28.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Eric Orze
6.9%
José Alvarado
4.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Eric Orze
.310
José Alvarado
.304
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Eric Orze
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.95
3.72
José Alvarado
2.946.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Eric Orze
1.012.04
now 1.39
1.26
José Alvarado
1.012.04
now 1.81
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Eric Orze
4036.60
now 25
26
José Alvarado
4036.60
now 26
31
Winshigher is better
Eric Orze
.2003.80
now 2
13
José Alvarado
.2003.80
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Eric Orze
.0003.40
now 1
02
José Alvarado
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowEric Orze — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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