week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Garrett Whitlock
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (2.62); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0WHIP 1.24ERA 3.69W 0–0SV 0
Whitlock is a hold — the strikeouts are real, the run prevention is not yet.
ROS projects K 26 YTD → 0 ROS, WHIP 1.11 YTD → 1.24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %29.8%—+2.8% ▲vs his ~27.0% career norm
- Walk %4.5%—−1.5% ▼vs his ~6.0% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.62)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed33.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−6.2%vs his norm —
130 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed3.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.2%vs his norm —
130 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.251
lg avg .315 ▼−.064vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
198 / 200 TBF
xERA2.62
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.48vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
198 / 200 TBF
ERA1.72
lg avg 4.10 ▼−2.38vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
52.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %29.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+7.8%vs his norm +2.8% ▲
198 / 70 TBF
Walk %4.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.5%vs his norm −1.5% ▼
198 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.278
lg avg .295 ▼−.017vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
130 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %18.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+7.0%vs his norm —
198 / 60 TBF
Chase %42.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+13.6%vs his norm —
198 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.9 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.9 mphvs his norm —
743 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 29.8%→28.4%signal0 K — K% 29.8% (signal) tempered to career ~27.0% → projected 28.4% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 2.62noise3.69 ERA — xERA 2.62 (noise) blended 1% skill / 99% league 3.70 at 21 IP.
BB% 4.5% + contactsignal1.24 WHIP — a 4% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.292 gives a 1.06 skill WHIP, blended 1%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.69 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.