Who's more valuable, rest of season
Too close to call.
They split your categories 2–2, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.
Head-to-head
K
▶
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
◀
SV
Caleb Kilian wins 2 (ERA, SV); José Alvarado wins 2 (K, WHIP); 1 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
José Alvarado
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
José Alvarado
14.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
27.1%
José Alvarado
28.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
32.2%
José Alvarado
34.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
34.8%
José Alvarado
27.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
7.1%
José Alvarado
4.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.283
José Alvarado
.297
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
2.926.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.68
José Alvarado
2.926.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
.9002.07
now 1.15
1.25
José Alvarado
.9002.07
now 1.81
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4034.60
now 29
18
José Alvarado
4034.60
now 26
23
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0002.80
now 2
1–2
José Alvarado
.0002.80
now 1
0–1
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0004.40
now 3
2–3
José Alvarado
.0004.40
now 1
0–2
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Kilian — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90