Rest of Season Projection
JasonCategoryRyan
32K →52
3.70ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP ←1.26
2–5W ←2–5
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
JasonCategoryRyan
11K →32
0.90ERA ←5.74
1.00WHIP ←1.39
2W2
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.246 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.04 is 1.33 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ryan Zeferjahn
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.00)
Jason Adam: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. Ryan Zeferjahn: 52 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).