Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryJustin
114K ←71
2.75ERA ←4.14
1.05WHIP ←1.28
6–14W →7–15
0SV0
Current Season
CamCategoryJustin
81K ←40
1.50ERA ←2.87
0.85WHIP ←1.01
7W7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Justin Wrobleski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.16 is 1.22 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cam Schlittler: 117 K / 2.74 ERA. Justin Wrobleski: 72 K / 3.87 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).