Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryMatt
114K ←67
2.75ERA ←4.09
1.05WHIP ←1.30
6–14W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
CamCategoryMatt
81K ←22
1.50ERA ←8.49
0.85WHIP ←1.71
7W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Matt Waldron
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.78 sits 0.32 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.384 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Cam Schlittler: 116 K / 2.75 ERA. Matt Waldron: 68 K / 4.09 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).