Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryNick
114K ←65
2.75ERA ←4.31
1.05WHIP ←1.30
6–14W ←5–10
0SV0
Current Season
CamCategoryNick
81K ←41
1.50ERA ←1.62
0.85WHIP ←1.11
7W ←5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Nick Martinez
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.43 +0.33 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cam Schlittler: 117 K / 2.74 ERA. Nick Martinez: 67 K / 4.30 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).