Rest of Season Projection
CamCategorySonny
114K ←81
2.75ERA ←4.39
1.05WHIP ←1.33
6–14W →7–15
0SV0
Current Season
CamCategorySonny
81K ←41
1.50ERA ←3.06
0.85WHIP ←1.20
7W ←6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Sonny Gray
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.55 +0.45 vs league with no luck excuse
Cam Schlittler: 117 K / 2.74 ERA. Sonny Gray: 84 K / 4.38 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).