Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryTrey
114K ←29
2.75ERA ←4.10
1.05WHIP ←1.30
6–14W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
CamCategoryTrey
81K ←5
1.50ERA ←4.24
0.85WHIP ←1.53
7W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Trey Gibson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 7.76 is 3.52 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 7% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cam Schlittler: 117 K / 2.74 ERA. Trey Gibson: 30 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).
