Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryTroy
114K ←28
2.75ERA ←4.10
1.05WHIP ←1.30
6–14W ←4–8
0SV0
Current Season
CamCategoryTroy
81K ←4
1.50ERA →1.42
0.85WHIP ←0.95
7W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Troy Melton
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.197 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.31 is 1.50 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cam Schlittler: 117 K / 2.74 ERA. Troy Melton: 29 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).