Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryTyler
114K ←94
2.75ERA ←4.05
1.05WHIP ←1.38
6–14W ←1–2
0SV0
Current Season
CamCategoryTyler
81K ←57
1.50ERA ←6.04
0.85WHIP ←1.54
7W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Mahle
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.05 sits 0.05 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Cam Schlittler: 116 K / 2.75 ERA. Tyler Mahle: 95 K / 4.04 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).