Rest of Season Projection
CamCategoryIan
11HR →13
43R →58
34RBI →46
11SB ←3
.236AVG ←.184
Current Season
CamCategoryIan
6HR →13
26R →39
21RBI →31
7SB ←2
.218AVG →.230
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cam Smith
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.348, +0.033 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Ian Happ
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.341, +0.026 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Cam Smith: 11 HR / 43 R. Ian Happ: 13 HR / 58 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).