MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cam Smith
Cam Smith
HOU · RF
Change to
Portrait of Ian Happ
Ian Happ
CHC · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ian Happ.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Ian Happ wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Cam Smith wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Cam Smith
89.5
Ian Happ
89.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Cam Smith
44.6%
Ian Happ
43.6%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Cam Smith
12.0%
Ian Happ
12.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Cam Smith
29.0%
Ian Happ
24.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Cam Smith
13.6%
Ian Happ
14.2%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Cam Smith
.338
Ian Happ
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Cam Smith
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .218
.226
Ian Happ
.200.250
lg AVG .295
now .230
.182

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Cam Smith
516.20
now 6
5
Ian Happ
516.20
now 13
6
Runshigher is better
Cam Smith
2046.20
now 26
21
Ian Happ
2046.20
now 39
30
RBIhigher is better
Cam Smith
2036.60
now 21
17
Ian Happ
2036.60
now 31
24
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Cam Smith
.0009
now 7
6
Ian Happ
.0009
now 2
2
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowCam Smith — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.69
Hold · steadyIan Happ — hold.conf 0.60
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